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Fear & Greed, Fear and Greed

There’s been a surge of interest in cash ETFs recently.

Chris Brycki, founder and CEO of online investment advisor Stockspot, talks to Jennifer Duke about what cash ETFs are and why their popularity has grown, as well as the returns and the risks.

This is general information only. You should seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.au

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Jennifer Duke: Welcome to the Fear and Greed Business Interview. I’m Jennifer

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Jennifer Duke: Duke. Every Monday here on Fear and Greed, we like

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Jennifer Duke: to look at investing, and one of our regular guests

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Jennifer Duke: is Chris Brycki, the founder and CEO of online investment

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Jennifer Duke: advisor Stockspot. He often talks about exchange traded funds or

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Jennifer Duke: ETFs, what’s popular and why they’re appealing to investors. And

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Jennifer Duke: today I wanted to focus on one particular type, cash

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Jennifer Duke: ETFs. Firstly though, remember, this is general information only. You

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Jennifer Duke: should definitely seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.

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Jennifer Duke: Chris, welcome back to Fear and Greed.

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Chris Brycki: Thanks for having me back on, Jennifer.

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Jennifer Duke: Let’s start with the very basics. What exactly is a

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Jennifer Duke: cash ETF?

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Chris Brycki: I think a lot of the listeners you have probably

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Chris Brycki: have heard of ETFs generally before, which are these listed

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Chris Brycki: funds that enable you to diversify and invest in a

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Chris Brycki: whole bunch of different companies or securities at once. Cash

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Chris Brycki: ETFs are a little bit more unusual, I don’t think

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Chris Brycki: too many people have heard of them before, but they’re

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Chris Brycki: a way of essentially earning a interest rate from the

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Chris Brycki: big banks, but rather than depositing your money with the

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Chris Brycki: banks, you’re actually buying something off the stock exchange that

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Chris Brycki: gives you access to deposits.
And these ETFs go and

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Chris Brycki: shop around for the best deposit rates. And they have

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Chris Brycki: a lot of buying power because they’re investing billions of

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Chris Brycki: dollars, and then they pass on those better rates to

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Chris Brycki: everyone. So they’re more of an alternative to savings accounts

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Chris Brycki: or high interest savings accounts compared to other ETFs that

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Chris Brycki: allow you to invest into, for instance, shares.

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Jennifer Duke: So you’re finding that more people are looking at cash

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Jennifer Duke: ETFs at the moment?

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Chris Brycki: Definitely over the last year or two, there’s been a

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Chris Brycki: huge explosion in interest, Jennifer. And the reason is that

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Chris Brycki: the interest rates have obviously gone up a lot, and

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Chris Brycki: so people are more interested in savings interest generally. There’s

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Chris Brycki: also a little bit of reluctance to invest in shares

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Chris Brycki: at the moment because the economy is volatile, people are

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Chris Brycki: a bit worried about inflation and economic growth and unemployment

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Chris Brycki: and what could be happening in the future. So I

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Chris Brycki: think those two combined have led to quite a lot

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Chris Brycki: of interest in these products. The other big factor that’s

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Chris Brycki: really driven interest is that the difference in the interest

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Chris Brycki: rate offered on these ETFs compared to what most people

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Chris Brycki: are getting in their bank savings accounts has really become

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Chris Brycki: a lot larger.
So these ETFs now are paying a

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Chris Brycki: bit over the RBA cash rate, and listeners would know

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Chris Brycki: that the RBA cash rate at the moment is 4.1%.

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Chris Brycki: These ETFs are paying around 4.2% per year, whereas most

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Chris Brycki: bank accounts are only paying around 2% a year, unless, of

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Chris Brycki: course, you’ve found one of these high interest accounts, but

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Chris Brycki: often they have a lot of other strings attached. You

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Chris Brycki: might need to use a card a certain amount of

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Chris Brycki: times per month or you might need to not make

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Chris Brycki: withdrawals or other rules like that.

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Jennifer Duke: So can you take me through the different options available

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Jennifer Duke: with cash ETFs?

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Chris Brycki: Sure. So at the moment on the ASX, there are

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Chris Brycki: three different products listed. Now, in other markets like the US,

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Chris Brycki: there are dozens of them, so I would expect over

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Chris Brycki: the next couple of years, there’ll be more options available.

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Chris Brycki: Right now there are three, their ASX codes are AAA,

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Chris Brycki: which is the BetaShares High Interest Cash ETF. That’s the

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Chris Brycki: one that we recommend to our clients for cash that

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Chris Brycki: they have that they don’t want to invest because they

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Chris Brycki: need it probably in the next three years, but they

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Chris Brycki: also want to earn a high return. And that’s paying just around 4. 19%

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Chris Brycki: at the moment. And then the other two are iShares products.

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Chris Brycki: There’s the iShares Core Cash ETF. BILL is the code. And

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Chris Brycki: the third one is the iShares Enhanced Cash ETF, ISEC.

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Chris Brycki: And they’re all pretty similar. The big difference between them

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Chris Brycki: is that they’re depositing in different banks. And what I

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Chris Brycki: would say is generally they’re all in very low credit

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Chris Brycki: risk and highly regarded banks. And so from my perspective,

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Chris Brycki: in terms of the recommendation we’re making to our clients,

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Chris Brycki: I would say the money is pretty safe. The only

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Chris Brycki: caveat I would say is unlike when you deposit your

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Chris Brycki: money in a bank, in a savings account, you don’t

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Chris Brycki: actually benefit from the government guarantee. So that’s the main difference.

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Jennifer Duke: There’ll be investors of all different types of experience listening

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Jennifer Duke: to this. How would they access a cash ETF?

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Chris Brycki: Well, the most common way would be through a online

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Chris Brycki: stockbroker. And so if any of the listeners already have

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Chris Brycki: an online broking account, you can easily access them through

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Chris Brycki: those accounts. The only extra cost you have to be

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Chris Brycki: aware of, as well as the management fees that are

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Chris Brycki: built into these ETFs, is actually brokerage costs. And so

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Chris Brycki: you should be calculating what’s the impact of brokerage costs

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Chris Brycki: on your transaction.
And that’s why for investments of less

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Chris Brycki: than three months, I’d still recommend to listeners that leaving

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Chris Brycki: the money in the bank is for most people the

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Chris Brycki: best option. But once you’re looking to park that savings

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Chris Brycki: for three months to three years, and that might be

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Chris Brycki: to save up to a goal of going on a

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Chris Brycki: holiday or saving up for your kids’ education or putting

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Chris Brycki: money aside for something like that, that’s when these products

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Chris Brycki: tend to make good sense.

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Jennifer Duke: And how does it compare to, say, a term deposit

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Jennifer Duke: or something like that?

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Chris Brycki: Well, term deposits are really priced off the interest rate

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Chris Brycki: curve, which means where are interest rates priced in the

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Chris Brycki: futures market and the swap market, one month, three months

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Chris Brycki: or six months or 12 months into the future. Now

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Chris Brycki: at the moment in Australia, the interest rate curve is

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Chris Brycki: pretty flat, which means that the interest rate we have

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Chris Brycki: today, which is 4.1%, is very similar to the interest

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Chris Brycki: rates three months, six months, 12 months into the future.

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Chris Brycki: And so what we’re seeing on term deposits at the

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Chris Brycki: moment is that the best rates out there that I’ve

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Chris Brycki: seen are around 5% at the moment. And that’s for people

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Chris Brycki: if they’re prepared to lock up their money for 12

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Chris Brycki: to 24 months.
So certainly if you’re prepared to lock

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Chris Brycki: up your money for a bit longer, the rates available

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Chris Brycki: are a little bit higher than these ETFs. The big

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Chris Brycki: downside to locking the money in obviously is that you

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Chris Brycki: don’t have access to it in the short term. So

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Chris Brycki: if an opportunity comes up, for instance if there’s a

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Chris Brycki: share market crash and you really wanted to invest, there

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Chris Brycki: are some penalties to pull your money out of the

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Chris Brycki: term deposit, whereas with cash ETFs, there’s no penalties. So

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Chris Brycki: you’re earning a little bit less but you have more flexibility.

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Jennifer Duke: Stay with me, Chris. We’ll be back in a minute.

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Jennifer Duke: I’m speaking to Chris Brycki, CEO of Stockspot. How do you

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Jennifer Duke: say that cash ETS would fit into a broader portfolio, and

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Jennifer Duke: how should investors be thinking about them in that context?

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Chris Brycki: Well, the way that we explain it to our clients

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Chris Brycki: is that if you’re planning to invest for more than

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Chris Brycki: three years, or for any money that you don’t need

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Chris Brycki: for the next three years, we don’t really see a

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Chris Brycki: place for having too much cash in your portfolio. Because

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Chris Brycki: over the medium and long run, cash historically has done

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Chris Brycki: pretty poorly as an investment asset class and has lagged

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Chris Brycki: even inflation. And so it’s not a great place because

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Chris Brycki: you’re going to lose purchasing power and lose value of

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Chris Brycki: money over time for longer periods. So for longer periods

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Chris Brycki: of time, the portfolios we’re recommending to clients don’t have

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Chris Brycki: much if any cash. They’re mainly in other asset classes,

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Chris Brycki: like bonds and shares and property and infrastructure.
However, for

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Chris Brycki: shorter term goals of up to three years, that’s where

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Chris Brycki: cash has a great place in a portfolio. And that’s

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Chris Brycki: because investing in the share market over shorter periods, and

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Chris Brycki: I think some listeners might think a short period is

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Chris Brycki: a week or two. The way that we would frame

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Chris Brycki: it to clients is actually anything up to three years

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Chris Brycki: is a short period in the share market. For that

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Chris Brycki: sort of period, your probability of actually earning a good

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Chris Brycki: return isn’t good enough to justify investing, in my view,

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Chris Brycki: into the share market. And that’s where a cash ETF

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Chris Brycki: would have a good place, I think, in a portfolio.

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Jennifer Duke: And given that sort of big boom in the popularity that

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Jennifer Duke: you mentioned in cash ETFs, where do you think the

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Jennifer Duke: market’s going to be for these funds in the next

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Jennifer Duke: five to 10 years?

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Chris Brycki: Well, it’s interesting. Historically, there was a huge explosion in

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Chris Brycki: these sorts of products, if you look back in history

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Chris Brycki: in the 1970s when there was a similar fast increase

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Chris Brycki: in interest rates and bout of inflation. And money market funds —

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Chris Brycki: they were at that point in time not ETFs, because

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Chris Brycki: ETFs didn’t exist — absolutely skyrocketed in popularity and they stayed

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Chris Brycki: pretty popular for a whole decade because they were offering relatively

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Chris Brycki: good interest rates compared to what the banks were offering.

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Chris Brycki: And I think we’re seeing a similar trend at the moment,

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Chris Brycki: that this is really the start of probably a trend

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Chris Brycki: that will continue for the next decade, which is that

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Chris Brycki: banks are relying on people being lazy and not shopping

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Chris Brycki: around for better interest rates. Sadly, like a lot of

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Chris Brycki: other service providers in Australia. But for anyone that’s savvy

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Chris Brycki: and prepared to shop around, these products are actually giving

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Chris Brycki: a much better yield or interest rate compared to what

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Chris Brycki: you can get in the bank. And while that difference exists,

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Chris Brycki: and at the moment it’s about 2%, the average cash

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Chris Brycki: ETF return versus the average savings account return is 2%.

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Chris Brycki: While you can earn that extra 2%, I think the

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Chris Brycki: popularity of these products will continue to increase. Worth noting,

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Chris Brycki: in the US that difference is even larger, it’s around 3%.

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Chris Brycki: And there’s been an even bigger level of growth in

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Chris Brycki: these products in the US, just because so many more

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Chris Brycki: people are realizing it’s a better way to earn an

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Chris Brycki: interest rate.

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Jennifer Duke: Do you think it might actually give the banks a bit of

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Jennifer Duke: a kick to outplay game and pass through some better

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Jennifer Duke: interest rates to consumers?

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Chris Brycki: Look, you’d hope so, but unfortunately the Australian banking regime

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Chris Brycki: isn’t particularly competitive when it comes to deposits because there’s

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Chris Brycki: a lot of people that are, sadly, just prepared to

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Chris Brycki: leave their deposits in bank accounts and don’t put a

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Chris Brycki: lot of thought into the interest they’re receiving, especially for short-

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Chris Brycki: term goals and needs that they have. So in a

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Chris Brycki: perfectly competitive market environment, absolutely. You’d think that banks would

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Chris Brycki: be competing for those deposits. But we don’t exist in

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Chris Brycki: that world and unfortunately there isn’t enough competition to really

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Chris Brycki: drive banks to increase interest rates anywhere near that sort

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Chris Brycki: of four or four and a bit percent that we’re

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Chris Brycki: seeing in these cash ETFs. So my guess would be

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Chris Brycki: probably not.

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Jennifer Duke: Moving away from cash ETFs quickly, what other trends are you seeing in the

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Jennifer Duke: ETF market right now? Is there still a fascination with

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Jennifer Duke: AI and technology like semiconductors?

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Chris Brycki: Look, at any point in time, Jennifer, there’s always little

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Chris Brycki: trends that emerge in the investing landscape. And they tend

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Chris Brycki: to transpire now in the ETF world as well because not

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Chris Brycki: only can people buy direct shares to access a different

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Chris Brycki: thematic in the markets, but an ETF allows them to

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Chris Brycki: do that as well. So over the last year, for

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Chris Brycki: instance, yes, all the ETFs that are focused on AI have

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Chris Brycki: really seen a lot of money come into them because

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Chris Brycki: the stocks that are within those ETFs have performed very

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Chris Brycki: well. The NVIDIAs of the world have really seen huge increases

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Chris Brycki: in their share prices. The other theme that’s done quite

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Chris Brycki: well in the ETF landscape, that mirrors what’s happening underlying

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Chris Brycki: shares, is around lithium and the technologies around batteries.
So

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Chris Brycki: those sorts of ETFs have also performed quite well. But

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Chris Brycki: these are very niche themes and I’d say to listeners, if

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Chris Brycki: you’re investing into these, just be careful not to invest

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Chris Brycki: too much of your portfolio. Because just as they can

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Chris Brycki: go up 80 or 100% in a year, they can also fall

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Chris Brycki: by 50% in a year. And that’s what we saw

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Chris Brycki: with some of these cryptocurrency ETFs over the last year that

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Chris Brycki: actually fell by 80%. So you can’t have too much

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Chris Brycki: of your portfolio on these products, otherwise you’re going to weather

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Chris Brycki: some pretty enormous ups and downs.

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Jennifer Duke: Chris, that was fabulous. Thank you very much for talking

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Jennifer Duke: to Fear and Greed.

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Chris Brycki: My pleasure.

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Jennifer Duke: That was Chris Brycki, the founder and CEO of online

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Jennifer Duke: investment advisor Stockspot. This is the Fear and Greed Business

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Jennifer Duke: Interview. Remember, this is general information only and you should

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Jennifer Duke: seek professional advice before making any investment decisions. Join us

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Jennifer Duke: every morning for the full episode of Fear and Greed,

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Jennifer Duke: Australia’s best business podcast. I’m Jennifer Duke, economics correspondent at

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Jennifer Duke: Capital Brief. I’m filling in for Sean Aylmer. Have a

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Jennifer Duke: great day.