Monday 12 June 2023
US tech stocks surge as confidence returns to the sector.
Also today:
- The number of senior women in charge of large ASX companies spikes, but it’s still well below the number of male CEOs.
- Qantas changes the rules for what their air crew can wear.
- Donald Trump describes his indictment on federal charges as a ‘witch hunt’
Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.au
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Michael Thompson: US tech stocks surge as confidence returns to the sector.
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Michael Thompson: The number of senior women in charge of large ASX
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Michael Thompson: companies spikes, but it’s still well below the number of
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Michael Thompson: male CEOs, and Qantas changes the rules for what their
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Michael Thompson: air crew can wear.
It’s Monday, the 12th of June,
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Michael Thompson: 2023. Welcome to Fear and Greed, Australia’s most popular business
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Michael Thompson: podcast. I’m Michael Thompson, and good morning, Sean Aylmer.
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Sean Aylmer: Good morning, Michael.
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Michael Thompson: Now Sean, with much of the country enjoying the King’s
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Michael Thompson: Birthday long weekend, this morning’s show is a little bit
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Michael Thompson: shorter, a little bit shorter, and we’ve got some fantastic
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Michael Thompson: stories coming up, and you’ve got a great chat, an
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Michael Thompson: interview, coming up straight after the show. You’re speaking with
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Michael Thompson: Kiarne Treacy, the Chief Executive of Sustainable Choice Group.
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Sean Aylmer: Yeah, so it’s a startup, and what Sustainable Choice Group
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Sean Aylmer: is hoping to do is introduce a more or less
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Sean Aylmer: standardized measurement for green transition. Now there’s a lot going
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Sean Aylmer: on, greenwashing, green- hushing, the idea that companies aren’t talking
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Sean Aylmer: about what they’re doing, which ASIC is just as worried
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Sean Aylmer: about as those overstating it, and what Treacy and the
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Sean Aylmer: team at Sustainable Choice Group is trying to do is
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Sean Aylmer: find a measurement which can alleviate those problems. It’s a
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Sean Aylmer: really interesting chat, Michael.
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Michael Thompson: Yeah, it’s a really good one. Kiarne’s a great communicator.
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Michael Thompson: It’s well worth sticking around for. It’s coming up a
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Michael Thompson: bit later on, and the main story this morning though, Sean,
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Michael Thompson: is one out of the US where tech stocks are
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Michael Thompson: on a tear, helping the local IT companies as well, with
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Michael Thompson: the tech- heavy NASDAQ up 27% since the beginning of
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Michael Thompson: the year. Not bad.
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Sean Aylmer: Not bad. There have been some incredible performances. We’ve spoken
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Sean Aylmer: a bit about chip maker Nvidia. It’s riding the artificial
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Sean Aylmer: intelligence wave, and its share price is up 170% this
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Sean Aylmer: year, easily the best of the lot, but there’s a
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Sean Aylmer: few others, and easing of supply chain issues and a
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Sean Aylmer: rush of sales alongside beneficial tax changes in the US
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Sean Aylmer: have helped Tesla’s share price jump 126% this year, while
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Sean Aylmer: Meta, father of Facebook and Instagram, is up 112%. The
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Sean Aylmer: laggards are Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet. They’re up between 35 and
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Sean Aylmer: 45%. Now compare that to the broader S& P 500,
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Sean Aylmer: which is up about 12%, or the local ASX 200, which
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Sean Aylmer: is up about 1% this year, and it just shows you
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Sean Aylmer: how popular tech stocks are at the moment.
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Michael Thompson: Yeah, absolutely, but break it down for me just a
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Michael Thompson: little bit. Why have these tech stocks done so well?
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Sean Aylmer: The crazy outperformers, like Nvidia and Tesla, have had stock
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Sean Aylmer: specific reasons. Artificial intelligence for Nvidia. Tesla was changes in
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Sean Aylmer: terms of tax treatment in the US. But more generally,
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Sean Aylmer: the sentiment around tech stocks is much, much more positive.
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Sean Aylmer: Three reasons for that.
First, they were sold off really
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Sean Aylmer: hard in 2022, so they entered this year at lower
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Sean Aylmer: valuations, hence the rise is off a lower base. People
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Sean Aylmer: also like investing in tech stocks when they want long-
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Sean Aylmer: term growth, so there’s a bit of uncertainty around at the moment, we
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Sean Aylmer: know that, but people think tech stocks, or the big
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Sean Aylmer: guys particularly, do have long- term growth.
Third, they also
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Sean Aylmer: like tech stocks when interest rates are at or near
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Sean Aylmer: a peak, and that seems to be the case in
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Sean Aylmer: the US, seems to be the case here. That’s not
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Sean Aylmer: to say there won’t be one, two, maybe three more
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Sean Aylmer: rate rises, but certainly when interest rates have peaked, that’s
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Sean Aylmer: when people start turning to tech stocks.
There’s also a
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Sean Aylmer: fourth one, which I should really throw in. Tech stocks
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Sean Aylmer: are often considered recession proof, so the idea… COVID was
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Sean Aylmer: an example of that where there was a downturn but
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Sean Aylmer: the tech stocks did well. It’s that idea that people
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Sean Aylmer: will always use technology, even if there is a downturn.
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Sean Aylmer: You put all that together and that’s why they’ve done
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Sean Aylmer: so well.
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Michael Thompson: And of course, we’re not an investing podcast, so always
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Michael Thompson: important to get specific advice when you’re making these kind
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Michael Thompson: of decisions. But with this improvement in the general sentiment
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Michael Thompson: around tech stocks, is that translating then to Australian stocks?
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Sean Aylmer: It is. It’s not quite as dramatic, but tech stocks
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Sean Aylmer: have done well on the local market. WiseTech Global, the
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Sean Aylmer: tracking software group and the largest IT company on the
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Sean Aylmer: ASX, is up more than 50% this year. Accounting software
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Sean Aylmer: group, Xero, is up 33%. Online real estate company, REA,
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Sean Aylmer: is up 21%. It certainly doesn’t mean it’s going to
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Sean Aylmer: last, and get your own advice on this for sure,
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Sean Aylmer: but it has been a great start to 2023 for
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Sean Aylmer: the tech stocks.
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Michael Thompson: All right. Good story. Now Sean, the ASX is closed
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Michael Thompson: today obviously, but how did local markets finish up last week?
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Sean Aylmer: The S& P/ ASX 200 closed up 0.3%, to 7, 123 points, with two
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Sean Aylmer: sectors doing much of the work, the tech stocks and the
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Sean Aylmer: mining sector. We’ve spoken a fair bit about tech stocks.
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Sean Aylmer: In terms of the miners, iron ore futures are trading
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Sean Aylmer: higher. BHP climbed 1.3% as a result. Fortescue Metals was up 1. 4%. The
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Sean Aylmer: best on the bourse on Friday though was Nickel Industries,
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Sean Aylmer: up 13.3%.
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Michael Thompson: And is there much going on in commodity markets at
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Michael Thompson: the moment, Sean?
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Sean Aylmer: They’re all trading, but oil and gold prices are off
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Sean Aylmer: a bit. As I mentioned, iron ore prices are up
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Sean Aylmer: a bit. Been a good few days for the Aussie
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Sean Aylmer: dollar, and that’s probably the standout news item this morning.
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Sean Aylmer: It’s trading around 67.4 US cents, Michael.
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Michael Thompson: All right, we’ll be back in a moment with the
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Michael Thompson: rest of the day’s business news.
Sean, Australia’s biggest companies
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Michael Thompson: are doing a better job than the broader corporate sector
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Michael Thompson: of appointing female chief executives, with five women now in
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Michael Thompson: leadership roles among the top 20. The rise in part
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Michael Thompson: reflects more female executives acquiring greater operational experience and boards
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Michael Thompson: recognizing the advantage of having greater diversity among top decision
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Michael Thompson: makers, according to a report in the Financial Review.
There
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Michael Thompson: have been three female appointments of top 20 ASX companies in
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Michael Thompson: the past year. Vicki Brady at Telstra, Leah Weckert at
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Michael Thompson: Coles, and Fiona Hick at Fortescue. That means the number
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Michael Thompson: has gone from two to five. Of course, the other
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Michael Thompson: two, Shemara Wikramanayake runs Macquarie Bank, and Meg O’Neill is boss
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Michael Thompson: at Woodside.
The number of women running companies in the
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Michael Thompson: top 50 has doubled to eight. Among the ASX 200, the
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Michael Thompson: proportion of companies headed by women has also doubled, but
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Michael Thompson: at a much lower ratio. Basically it shows that 21,
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Michael Thompson: or about 10%, of the top 200 companies are now
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Michael Thompson: run by women, so at the very top level it’s 25%,
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Michael Thompson: but the further you go the lower it gets. Still
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Michael Thompson: some work to do, in fact, still a lot of
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Michael Thompson: work to do, but at least they’re on the way.
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Sean Aylmer: Yeah, it is a bit of progress it seems.
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Michael Thompson: Now Sean, Crown Resorts’ Chief Executive, Ciarán Carruthers, has called
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Michael Thompson: for more workers to return to the office to help
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Michael Thompson: Australia’s CBDs survive the cost of living crisis and economic slowdown.
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Sean Aylmer: Carruthers also backed the federal government’s moves to lift skilled
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Sean Aylmer: migration, saying more overseas workers will help the casino group
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Sean Aylmer: bounce back to pre- pandemic levels, but he warns that
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Sean Aylmer: spiraling rents need to be tackled, saying it presented a
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Sean Aylmer: triple barrier for foreign workers choosing Australia in a very
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Sean Aylmer: globally competitive labor market.
Crown is Victoria’s biggest single site
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Sean Aylmer: employer, taking up most of Melbourne’s CBD eastern flank. The
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Sean Aylmer: company also opened a 2. 2 billion VIP casino and
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Sean Aylmer: resort at Barangaroo in Sydney last August. It’s got big
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Sean Aylmer: operations in Perth as well. Overall, it employs 23, 500 staff.
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Sean Aylmer: Now, Carruthers has joined a growing number of chief executives,
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Sean Aylmer: including National Australia Bank’s Ross McEwan, who wants workers to
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Sean Aylmer: return to their offices in order to revitalize CBDs, which
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Sean Aylmer: of course would in turn help lift consumer and business
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Sean Aylmer: confidence, or at least that’s what Ciarán Carruthers and Ross
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Sean Aylmer: McEwan hope.
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Michael Thompson: All right, Sean, change is afoot at Qantas. Actually, stop.
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Michael Thompson: Missed opportunity here. Change is in the air at Qantas.
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Sean Aylmer: Oh, much better. Much better.
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Michael Thompson: Much, much. It’s just glorious, isn’t it? Now, the change
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Michael Thompson: that we’re talking about here, male cabin crew now being
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Michael Thompson: allowed to grow their hair, that would obviously be a
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Michael Thompson: sensitive one for you, Sean, and wear makeup as well,
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Michael Thompson: and women can wear flat shoes and don’t have to
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Michael Thompson: wear makeup.
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Sean Aylmer: It’s quite remarkable that this story is a story, but
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Sean Aylmer: it is. It’s actually the biggest change in dress policy
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Sean Aylmer: at the national carrier in 10 years. So the relaxation,
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Sean Aylmer: is the word they’ve used, the relaxation of previously hard-
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Sean Aylmer: line styling rules followed a lengthy uniform review by Qantas
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Sean Aylmer: that came after a lot of lobbying from unions.
Other
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Sean Aylmer: changes include the option for men and women to wear
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Sean Aylmer: diamond earrings and colorful nail polish. Fitbits and large watches
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Sean Aylmer: are now allowed as well. Men and women with long
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Sean Aylmer: hair must wear it in a ponytail or bun or
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Sean Aylmer: cornrows. Now I had to look up what cornrows was,
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Sean Aylmer: and I saw a picture of it and I would’ve called it tight
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Sean Aylmer: plaits, but anyway, cornrows. There is also more fluidity between
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Sean Aylmer: specific men’s and women’s uniform sets, with much more ability
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Sean Aylmer: to mix up the various pieces. However, there is still
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Sean Aylmer: a requirement to cover up any tattoos, and stockings are
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Sean Aylmer: still required when wearing a dress or skirt. Name badges
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Sean Aylmer: also remain compulsory for crew.
Interesting story, this one in 2023.
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Michael Thompson: In international news, Sean, Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, acknowledged over
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Michael Thompson: the weekend that his military was engaged in counteroffensive and
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Michael Thompson: defensive operations. A day after Russia’s Vladimir Putin said his long-
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Michael Thompson: vaunted drive to retake territory was well underway.
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Sean Aylmer: Zelenskyy said counteroffensive and defensive actions are taking place in
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Sean Aylmer: Ukraine, but wouldn’t be drawn on what stages they are.
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Sean Aylmer: He said when asked, ” The generals are all in a
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Sean Aylmer: positive mood. Pass that on to Putin.” Now, he said
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Sean Aylmer: that with a smile, and he was standing alongside visiting
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Sean Aylmer: Canadian Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau, at the time. Not sure
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Sean Aylmer: that Trudeau quite knew what to say in response to that, but obviously the
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Sean Aylmer: counteroffensive is up and running.
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Michael Thompson: And Sean, Donald Trump addressed his supporters over the weekend
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Michael Thompson: for the first time since his indictment on multiple federal
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Michael Thompson: charges, saying it is a witch hunt, a fake indictment,
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Michael Thompson: and shows two standards of justice in the US.
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Sean Aylmer: The 37 counts of the indictment released on Friday and
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Sean Aylmer: focused on his alleged mishandling of classified materials, is potentially
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Sean Aylmer: far more severe, legally at least, than previous charges of
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Sean Aylmer: personal, political, or commercial misconduct. In Columbus, Georgia, Trump called
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Sean Aylmer: it a fake indictment, saying he’s been pursued in court
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Sean Aylmer: because of his bid for a second term in the
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Sean Aylmer: White House. He went on, and I’ve got to quote
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Sean Aylmer: this, Michael, because it is quite incredible, ” We now have
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Sean Aylmer: two standards of justice in our country. The Democrat communists
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Sean Aylmer: want to jail their opponents, while they protect the murderers
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Sean Aylmer: who prowl our cities day and night, and other brazen criminals.”
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Michael Thompson: Mm- hmm, right.
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Sean Aylmer: Trump is due to appear in a federal court in
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Sean Aylmer: Miami tomorrow night Australian time to answer charges he put
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Sean Aylmer: US national security at risk.
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Michael Thompson: Well, the theater, Sean, just rolls on it.
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Sean Aylmer: We talk about it so much because it is theater
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Sean Aylmer: and it is so entertaining, but it’s also about running
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Sean Aylmer: the world’s most powerful country, and in fact when you think about
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Sean Aylmer: that, it’s incredibly sad.
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Michael Thompson: Yeah, it’s very, very, very serious indeed.
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Sean Aylmer: Yeah.
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Michael Thompson: Now up next is the Fear and Greed Daily Interview.
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Michael Thompson: You’re speaking today with Kiarne Treacy, the Chief Executive of
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Michael Thompson: Sustainable Choice Group, and part of that is the web
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Michael Thompson: platform, SustainabilityTracker. com.
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Sean Aylmer: Yes, so SustainabilityTracker. com, Kiarne hopes, will eventually morph into
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Sean Aylmer: basically a measurement tool to judge how people are going
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Sean Aylmer: in the green transition. Really interesting chat with Kiarne.
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Michael Thompson: Yeah, it’s good, and it is interesting because the conversation goes
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Michael Thompson: into some of those clients that are working with them
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Michael Thompson: already, like I think Europcar is one of them, and
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Michael Thompson: John West I know you talked about.
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Sean Aylmer: John West is another, yeah.
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Michael Thompson: Yeah, and so it illustrates the way that big companies
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Michael Thompson: are able to use a platform like this. I’ve found
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Michael Thompson: it really interesting. You’ve also got, of course, Fear and
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Michael Thompson: Greed – The Week Ahead, featuring our resident economist, Stephen Koukoulas.
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Sean Aylmer: I think he’s in shock after last week. We had
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Sean Aylmer: growth numbers that were weak. We had an interest rate
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Sean Aylmer: hike which, well broadly, people didn’t really expect, and we
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Sean Aylmer: bring all that together. Also this week we’ve got labor
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Sean Aylmer: force numbers. Very, very important. It’s a lagging indicator, as
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Sean Aylmer: in the unemployment numbers come out after the economy has
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Sean Aylmer: moved on a bit, they lag, and as a result
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Sean Aylmer: it’ll be interesting to see whether we are seeing an
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Sean Aylmer: uptick in the unemployment rate from the current level of 3. 7%.
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Michael Thompson: Excellent. Both of those interviews are coming up next in
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Michael Thompson: the Fear and Greed playlist on your podcast platform or
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Michael Thompson: at fearandgreed. com. au. Thank you, Sean.
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Sean Aylmer: Thank you, Michael.
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Michael Thompson: It’s Monday, the 12th of June, 2023. Make sure you’re
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Michael Thompson: following the podcast. Join us online on LinkedIn and Instagram and
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Michael Thompson: Twitter and Facebook, and stay up to date on all
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Michael Thompson: and catch the latest episode. You can grab yours now
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Michael Thompson: at amazon. com. au.
I’m Michael Thompson and that was
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Michael Thompson: Fear and Greed. Have a great day.